Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.483954 54.523008 60.818058 67.852273 75.475482 83.470167 92.470772
2024-10-20 38.555165 47.281166 56.945827 68.365614 81.410234 95.767128 112.681707
2024-10-27 31.724727 41.470875 52.749372 66.606744 83.010243 101.646820 124.252598
2024-11-03 28.834009 39.695801 52.713501 69.201800 89.256810 112.588833 141.501059
2024-11-10 26.026586 37.596601 51.915647 70.554348 93.773806 121.348450 156.147450
2024-11-17 23.125286 35.022667 50.212995 70.506435 96.359522 127.649265 167.798482
2024-11-24 21.744677 34.270379 50.683675 73.082516 102.137619 137.837575 184.249532
2024-12-01 19.555713 32.188702 49.212633 72.975124 104.386804 143.589524 195.243492
2024-12-08 17.369349 29.892917 47.255464 72.042197 105.421912 147.717613 204.171078
2024-12-15 15.758357 28.273939 46.086681 72.041740 107.581909 153.225488 214.843195
2024-12-22 14.333412 26.796575 44.994830 72.038292 109.659122 158.590201 225.349125
2024-12-29 13.839053 26.707969 45.870776 74.773949 115.460149 168.877014 242.326598
2025-01-05 12.830097 25.745060 45.439991 75.680038 118.850168 176.158309 255.681325
2025-01-12 11.821888 24.696400 44.813292 76.261052 121.788199 182.889348 268.439195
2025-01-19 10.341582 22.698757 42.585837 74.348670 121.098266 184.647271 274.555697
2025-01-26 10.045840 22.733761 43.525078 77.164789 127.167872 195.656210 293.148545
2025-02-02 9.489268 22.246765 43.589214 78.631281 131.300229 204.053165 308.324649
2025-02-09 8.681473 21.217984 42.702681 78.579354 133.189528 209.350348 319.347446
2025-02-16 8.468625 21.294772 43.637483 81.371108 139.292287 220.582884 338.581941
2025-02-23 7.755899 20.330423 42.758572 81.254767 141.055809 225.737224 349.532226
2025-03-02 6.959988 19.114116 41.367044 80.243936 141.420745 228.884474 357.717762
2025-03-09 6.391665 18.304963 40.630266 80.243440 143.281789 234.155231 368.882831
2025-03-16 5.870408 17.538802 39.918459 80.239703 145.111294 239.380688 380.021907